俄罗斯军队将在几周内溃败
军事专家迈克·马丁博士说,俄罗斯对顿巴斯的进攻“有点失败”,该地区的战斗将在两到四个星期内结束。
这位在伦敦国王学院做战争研究的访问专家说:“基本上俄罗斯人将耗尽军队,而乌克兰人将反击。”
他认为,俄罗斯人已经失去了占领该地区的机会。
他解释说:“他们将所有这些遭受重创的部队撤出基辅,然后试图重组它们以在东部作战。”
但他们在乌克兰首都的战斗中“伤痕累累”,但是俄罗斯重组这些军队并“采取一些大胆的行动”。
马丁说,战争发生了“重大战略转变”,英国宣布其目标是从包括克里米亚在内的乌克兰清除俄罗斯军队。
然而他补充说,英国外交大臣利兹特拉斯是“错误的”,说这需要 10 年,并坚称:“在此之前,俄罗斯军队将崩溃,我们将看到一场政变。”
马丁说,随着美国宣布为乌克兰提供 330 亿美元(260 亿英镑)的资金,“这是一个非常明确的意图信号”。
他补充说,这也意味着北约和美国已经决定,如果北约加大赌注,弗拉基米尔·普京就只能虚张声势(声称使用核武器)。
Russian forces will collapse in weeks, predicts military expert
Russia's assault on Donbas has "sort of fizzled" and the battle for the region will be over in two to four weeks, says military expert Dr Mike Martin.
The war studies visiting fellow at King's College London says: "Basically the Russians are gonna run out of troops, and the Ukrainians are going to counterattack."
The Russians have squandered their one chance to take the region, he believes.
"They pulled all of these mauled units out of Kyiv, and then tried to reconstitute them for combat in the east," he explains.
But they were "bruised and damaged" by the battle for the Ukrainian capital and Russia failed to build them up and "do some bold manoeuvre".
And Martin says there has been a "major strategic shift" in the war, with the UK declaring its aim is to clear Russian forces from Ukraine, including Crimea.
He adds that UK Foreign Secretary Liz Truss is "wrong", however, to say this would take 10 years, insisting: "Russian forces will collapse before that, and we’ll see a coup."
And with the US announcing US$33bn (£26bn) of funding for Ukraine, "that is an extremely clear signal of intent", says Martin.
It also means Nato and the US have decided Vladimir Putin is bluffing about using nuclear weapons if Nato up the ante, he adds.