我之前预计七月将是转折点，从俄方进攻变成双方僵持，现在看越来越有可能。
七月初俄军占领西昌斯克后战场上鲜有进展，英国情报说俄军资源即将耗尽；而乌军，在西方武器和财政支援下，开始稳住阵脚并在南部局部反攻，最近在赫尔松加强攻势就是明证。
上周乌克兰呼吁赫尔松居民离开市区避免伤亡。今天，俄方说由于乌军的轰炸他们关闭了赫尔松大桥；BBC分析说这是个警告。
July 27 (Reuters) - Authorities in the Russian-controlled Ukrainian city of Kherson have closed the city's only bridge across the Dnipro river after it came under fire from U.S.-supplied high mobility artillery rocket systems (HIMARS), an official from the Russian-installed administration said on Wednesday.
另外俄方进一步削减北溪一号供气量，有点断臂求生的意思呵呵
俄方已经是再而衰，到九、十月份有可能三而竭。