西草甸2022-09-16 21:37:30

https://www.currentmarketvaluation.com/models/buffett-indicator.php 

The current ratio of 175% is approximately 37% (or about 1.0 standard deviations) above the historical trend line, suggesting that the stock market is Overvalued relative to GDP.

 

dindindon2022-09-16 21:52:26
Bob Farrell's 10 Rules 1.: 回归均值
西草甸2022-09-16 21:54:23
-1 Std Dev? If possible, the world would be wiped out
Chinaplayer2022-09-16 22:38:27
再给一年时间,大盘再下十个点,gdp 加通涨再上十个点,明年这时候就达到趋势线。
Grainsw2022-09-16 23:09:44
巴菲特指标就是胡说八道的,美国GDP年增长在1%-3%之间,股市如果这个回报率还不如存定期呢。