sisyphus_new2022-10-08 14:47:20

Although tlt shows divergence, TBT has about 1%/month decay....

Found 2006 Jan Fed rate above 4-5, tlt was traded as low as to 84, 92 etc... 

regret missing the opportunity that tbt was very good trade this year....

Why We Expect the Fed to Cut Interest Rates in 2023 | Morningstar

maywalk2022-10-08 15:01:46
现在long TBT风险太大, 万一Fed Pivot. 我考虑有没有机会short TBT. 现在时间太早。