从微信美国大学群里第一次看到这个发言的记录是一月七号。自己感觉似乎过分乐观，于是转发给家里的ID医生询问是否可靠，回复如下 （因为前几天不确定发言是否真实，所以现在才分享）：
I'm not an epidemiologist so not in the business of predicting when the surge will peak. But I think its important to keep in mind that these predictions that the surge will peak in a week are predictions based on experiences in other countries like South Africa. And the United States is not South Africa, there are many other variables.