long_time_eb22006-06-14 21:32:22
本人查阅了过去6年的各国eb1,2,3 granted visa 及其它各项 数据包括china born eb1,2,3申请比例结构,家属结构等等,得出下列结论。

(1) 本年度EB2名额应该还剩很多。 如果DOS不考虑BEC积压申请(主要是不想浪费本年度名额),保守估计到10/1/2006,EB2排期应该能到1/1/2006。

(2) 如果DOS需要考虑BEC积压申请,而BEC可以在9 or 10/1/2006左右开始certify LC.那排期会变得很复杂.估计排期到了7/1/2005后会走得很慢. DOL(BEC/PERM)/USCIS/DOS的协调会很头疼.

(3)BEC现在共有360,000积压申请. 保守估计在这些积压申请中, valid EB2申请(china born)大约在9,000到10,000件之间. "valid EB2申请"的意思是排除了重复申请,公司倒闭,本人跳槽/laid off,已用其它手段获GC等等,等等. 所以如果国会不改法律的话,至少需要2-3年消化这些积压申请。
laomaotai2006-06-14 21:35:37
回复:china born EB2 排期趋势分析(考虑/不考虑BEC积压申请)
long_time_eb22006-06-14 21:38:08
EB3除了有EB2所面临问题外,应该还有EB3所特有的问题.
long_time_eb22006-06-14 21:48:21
申请置顶,化了不少时间精力.
ChineseTeddybear2006-06-14 21:52:41
A little bit confused. Does EB2=NIW ? Based on your
long_time_eb22006-06-14 21:59:14
There are regular LC EB2 and NIW EB2. EB2 quota(
long_time_eb22006-06-14 22:00:16
you are Eb1, right?
cth1632006-06-14 22:03:30
BEC only has 250,000 left in April, 2006.
ChineseTeddybear2006-06-14 22:03:54
Thank you. Hope I can get one quota for me. Mine is NIW
long_time_eb22006-06-14 22:05:48
that's why I said "VALID EB2申请(china born)大约
ChineseTeddybear2006-06-14 22:07:53
No, I am NIW EB2. Actually from the begining, I
long_time_eb22006-06-14 22:09:19
Good Luck.
peter20062006-06-14 22:18:57
I think the processing speed at BEC will be slow as always
一年搞定绿卡2006-06-14 22:42:59
只有结论,没有论据,
一年搞定绿卡2006-06-14 22:46:49
回复:No, I am NIW EB2. Actually from the begining, I
xiaoha2006-06-14 22:48:34
agree. most cases left in BEC are Traditional now
ninesong2006-06-14 23:17:47
同意, 把数据列出来, 才值得置顶